Biden’s Election Night Triumphs Signal Clear Path to 2024 Victory

On November 8, a feeling of vindication swept through the White House and the Biden campaign following the Democrats’ strong performance in off-year elections, despite numerous recent polls indicating low popularity for U.S. President Joe Biden.

Sam Cornale, the executive director of the Democratic National Committee, expressed, “Pollsters and pundits, if I had a dollar for every time they’ve counted Joe Biden or the Democrats out, I probably wouldn’t have to work anymore.” He confidently predicted that Democrats would continue to win in the future.

Biden faced questions this week, even from some within his own Democratic Party, regarding the wisdom of his 2024 re-election bid due to a series of weak polls. Some segments of the diverse Democratic coalition have lost faith in Biden, citing concerns about his stance on Israel, the lack of progress on climate change, and high prices.

A recent Sunday New York Times/Siena College poll showed Biden trailing Republican frontrunner Donald Trump in five out of six battleground states. Reuters/Ipsos polls indicate that Biden’s popularity has dropped to 39%, the lowest level since April.

The victory of Democratic incumbent Governor Andy Beshear in Kentucky, the passage of a constitutional amendment in Republican-leaning Ohio guaranteeing abortion rights, and Democratic wins in the battleground state of Pennsylvania demonstrated the overall strength of Biden’s party positions.

The Ohio result underscores the enduring appeal of abortion rights as a winning political issue for Democrats, especially after the conservative majority on the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the constitutional right to abortion, despite public opinion.

Whether the victories for Democrats this week are a clear sign of strength for Biden’s re-election bid remains uncertain. Exit polls suggest that the voters in state and local elections on Tuesday may differ significantly from those who will vote in the November 2024 presidential election. For instance, exit polls from NBC in Ohio showed a Democratic skew among voters on Tuesday, even though Trump won the state by 8 percentage points in 2020.

Republican political strategist Mary Anna Mancuso mentioned that today’s polls provide little insight into what will transpire in 2024 but suggested that Tuesday’s results could pose challenges for her party. She noted, “There’s a margin of voters, specifically suburban women, who are defecting from the Republican Party, prioritizing their bodily autonomy over tax cuts.”

Vice President Kamala Harris made an unexpected appearance on the White House driveway on Wednesday to emphasize the abortion issue and convey a fresh perspective on the Democrats’ 2024 message, asserting that their party, not the Republican party, will safeguard Americans’ personal rights.

Harris stated, “Last night, I think the American people made it clear that they are ready to stand for freedom and individual freedoms in America, and, by extension, it was a good night for democracy.” She stressed that the government should not dictate a woman’s choices about her body.

Biden, who will turn 81 this month, currently faces no serious primary challengers and has raised tens of millions of dollars for his re-election campaign. His fundraising has outpaced that of Trump, the current 77-year-old Republican frontrunner, who supported the unsuccessful Kentucky gubernatorial candidate.

Cornale emphasized that “MAGA Republicans have embraced Donald Trump’s agenda to restrict our freedoms at every turn, and voters aren’t going to accept it.”

White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre, who had previously cautioned against placing too much trust in polls predicting a “red wave” for the Republicans in the 2020 midterms, reiterated that the latest election results bolstered Biden’s argument for re-election based on the significance of his policies. She stated, “We don’t put much stock in polls.”

Harris, who made an impromptu appearance during Jean-Pierre’s scheduled press conference, closed with an optimistic prediction about the following November, saying, “It was a good night, and the president and I obviously have a lot of work to do to earn our re-election. But I’m confident we’re going to win.”

Reporting by Steve Holland and Trevor Hunnicutt. Edited by Heather Timmons, Rod Nickel, Deepa Babington, and Lincoln Feast.

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